SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.81%).
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Elgin City |
58.19% ( 0.19) | 22.56% ( -0.01) | 19.25% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0.2) | 46.9% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( -0.18) | 69.15% ( 0.19) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.01) | 15.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.02% ( -0.01) | 44.98% ( 0.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( -0.3) | 38.38% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.86% ( -0.29) | 75.14% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.25% |
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