SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Albion Rovers |
42.28% ( -0.06) | 24.52% ( -0.01) | 33.19% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( 0.05) | 44.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( 0.05) | 66.46% ( -0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.01) | 20.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -0.01) | 53.67% ( 0.01) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.06) | 25.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( 0.08) | 60.61% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Albion Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.19% |
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