SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Elgin City |
29.31% ( -6.09) | 23.75% ( -0.94) | 46.94% ( 7.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.53% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.8% ( 2.13) | 42.2% ( -2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( 2.1) | 64.6% ( -2.11) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -2.7) | 27.23% ( 2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( -3.64) | 62.65% ( 3.64) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( 3.98) | 18.19% ( -3.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.81% ( 6.38) | 49.19% ( -6.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.95) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -1.2)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -1.18)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.69)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.7)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.49)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.69) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 1.02)1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.96)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.99)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.63)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.58)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.32)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.94% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
