SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Forfar Athletic | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Stranraer | 7 | -6 | 6 |
| 10 | Albion Rovers | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 7 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Stirling Albion | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | East Fife | 7 | 0 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.67% ( 0.01) | 25.82% ( 0.02) | 35.5% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.11) | 49.43% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.09) | 71.47% ( 0.09) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.04) | 25.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( -0.06) | 59.77% ( 0.05) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.07) | 26.87% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( -0.09) | 62.18% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.5% |
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