SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
38.31% ( -0.02) | 25.06% ( 0) | 36.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.02) | 45.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( -0.01) | 68.23% ( 0.02) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( -0.02) | 23.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( -0.03) | 57.8% ( 0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.01) | 24.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( 0.01) | 59.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.63% |
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