Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
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