SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Annan Athletic |
36.84% ( 0.41) | 24.45% ( 0.07) | 38.71% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( -0.32) | 43.09% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( -0.32) | 65.49% ( 0.32) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( 0.07) | 23.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( 0.1) | 57.07% ( -0.1) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.38) | 22.22% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( -0.57) | 55.65% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.71% |
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