Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
38.24% ( 0.07) | 25.98% ( -0.01) | 35.77% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% ( 0.04) | 50.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% ( 0.03) | 72.09% ( -0.03) |
Forfar Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.06) | 25.63% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% ( 0.08) | 60.52% ( -0.08) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% ( -0.02) | 27.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.6% ( -0.02) | 62.4% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.77% |
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