Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
