SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
46.9% ( 7.67) | 25.65% ( -0.65) | 27.45% ( -7.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.07) | 51.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.06) | 73.4% ( -0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( 3.81) | 22% ( -3.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% ( 5.46) | 55.31% ( -5.45) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -4.87) | 33.45% ( 4.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.92% ( -5.7) | 70.08% ( 5.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 1.15) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.76)2-0 @ 8.44% ( 1.67)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.84)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 1.2)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.47)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.58)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.27% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -1.18) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -1.15)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -1.37)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.83)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.37)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.8)Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.45% |
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