SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
41.93% ( -0.27) | 25.16% ( 0.03) | 32.91% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.04) | 47.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.04) | 69.27% ( 0.04) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( -0.15) | 22.36% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( -0.22) | 55.86% ( 0.22) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.13) | 27.29% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( 0.17) | 62.73% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.91% |
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