SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
44.47% ( -0.02) | 24.4% ( 0) | 31.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.02) | 44.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( -0.02) | 66.66% ( 0.02) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.02) | 20.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( -0.03) | 52.27% ( 0.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0) | 27.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0) | 62.45% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.12% |
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