SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Alaves |
58.55% ( 1.3) | 24.41% ( -0.52) | 17.04% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 42.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% ( 0.75) | 57.06% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( 0.6) | 77.94% ( -0.6) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( 0.8) | 19.38% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.82% ( 1.29) | 51.18% ( -1.29) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.03% ( -0.54) | 46.97% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.54% ( -0.41) | 82.46% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.53% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.05% |
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