SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
41.78% ( -0.46) | 29.95% ( 0.27) | 28.27% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.73% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.95% ( -0.74) | 66.05% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.38% ( -0.51) | 84.62% ( 0.51) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.65) | 31.32% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( -0.76) | 67.68% ( 0.76) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( -0.27) | 40.69% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% ( -0.24) | 77.28% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 14.79% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.3% Total : 28.27% |
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