Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.52%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.48%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Almeria in this match.
