Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.1%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.