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Segunda Division | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 1

Amorebieta
1 - 2
Alcorcon

Garreta (34')
Hernando (45+4'), Eraso (50'), Jauregi (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obieta (37'), Garcia (64')
Lopez (27'), Garcia (41'), Chema (43'), Gonzalez (51')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Amorebieta and Alcorcon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Amorebieta 1-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 1-0 Eibar
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 46.23%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
AmorebietaDrawAlcorcon
46.23% (1.501 1.5) 29.2% (0.479 0.48) 24.57% (-1.98 -1.98)
Both teams to score 40.24% (-2.534 -2.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.53% (-2.44 -2.44)65.47% (2.44 2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.78% (-1.729 -1.73)84.21% (1.729 1.73)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.396 -0.4)28.57% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.498 -0.5)64.37% (0.498 0.5)
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-3.22 -3.22)43.66% (3.219 3.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.15% (-2.79 -2.79)79.84% (2.79 2.79)
Score Analysis
    Amorebieta 46.22%
    Alcorcon 24.56%
    Draw 29.2%
AmorebietaDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 15.62% (1.19 1.19)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.647 0.65)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 46.22%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 12.47% (1.08 1.08)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.385 -0.39)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.549 -0.55)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Amorebieta
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Amorebieta
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-1 Burgos
Sunday, December 3 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Elche 2-0 Amorebieta
Sunday, November 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 2-0 Tenerife
Saturday, November 18 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 1-0 Eibar
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 1-0 Alcorcon
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 0-0 Cartagena (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alcorcon 0-2 Elche
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Espanyol 2-0 Alcorcon
Sunday, November 26 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 0-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, November 18 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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