SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 46.23%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Alcorcon |
46.23% ( 1.5) | 29.2% ( 0.48) | 24.57% ( -1.98) |
| Both teams to score 40.24% ( -2.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.53% ( -2.44) | 65.47% ( 2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.78% ( -1.73) | 84.21% ( 1.73) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.4) | 28.57% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( -0.5) | 64.37% ( 0.5) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.34% ( -3.22) | 43.66% ( 3.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.15% ( -2.79) | 79.84% ( 2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 15.62% ( 1.19) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.65)2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.48% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 12.47% ( 1.08)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.2% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.56% |
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