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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 1
CV

Amorebieta
2 - 4
Celta Vigo

Jauregi (30'), Rodriguez (35')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (6'), Jailson (49'), Douvikas (52', 75')
Jailson (4'), Nunez (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Amorebieta 1-2 Alcorcon
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Betis
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga

We said: Amorebieta 1-2 Celta Vigo

After a very poor first four months of the 2023-24 campaign, Celta Vigo finally started to find some form over the last month and will head into this match with bags of confidence, having lost just one of their last five matches. The hosts are expected to give this one a good go, but we are backing the visitors to progress to the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
AmorebietaDrawCelta Vigo
33.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 38.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)58.08% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)78.75% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)32.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)68.58% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)29.48% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)65.49% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Amorebieta 33.95%
    Celta Vigo 38.13%
    Draw 27.92%
AmorebietaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-2 Alcorcon
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Amorebieta
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Amorebieta
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-1 Burgos
Sunday, December 3 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Elche 2-0 Amorebieta
Sunday, November 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Betis
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sestao River 1-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Cadiz
Monday, December 4 at 8pm in La Liga


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