Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 1-0 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.11) 
