Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
