Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
Result | ||
Mirandes | Draw | Burgos |
43.31% ( -0.44) | 28.05% ( -0.11) | 28.64% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 45.73% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.07% ( 0.59) | 59.93% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.82% ( 0.45) | 80.18% ( -0.45) |
Mirandes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( 0.05) | 27.45% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% ( 0.06) | 62.94% ( -0.06) |
Burgos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( 0.76) | 36.97% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% ( 0.75) | 73.75% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Mirandes | Draw | Burgos |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.63% |
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