Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 35.12%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (13.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
