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Segunda Division | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
4 - 1
Villarreal II

Ortuno (57' pen.), Del Moral (69' og.), Narvaez (72'), Alarcon (82')
Martinez (37'), Munoz (45+6'), Alarcon (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ontiveros (38' pen.)
Rodri (15'), Ontiveros (39')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-1 Real Oviedo
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawVillarreal II
49.91% (0.24299999999999 0.24) 26.21% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 23.88% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 47.21% (-0.443 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (-0.428 -0.43)56.22% (0.427 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (-0.347 -0.35)77.27% (0.346 0.35)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)22.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (-0.109 -0.11)56.2% (0.109 0.11)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (-0.516 -0.52)39.02% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.491 -0.49)75.74% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 49.91%
    Villarreal II 23.88%
    Draw 26.21%
CartagenaDrawVillarreal II
1-0 @ 13.11% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.84% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 49.91%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Huesca 3-0 Cartagena
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-3 Burgos
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Elche 1-2 Cartagena
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alcorcon 0-0 Cartagena (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, December 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-1 Real Oviedo
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-0 Valladolid
Monday, December 18 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 2-0 Villarreal II
Friday, December 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-0 Eibar
Monday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Villarreal II
Saturday, November 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-0 FC Andorra
Sunday, November 19 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division


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