SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Villarreal II |
49.91% ( 0.24) | 26.21% ( 0.05) | 23.88% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.78% ( -0.43) | 56.22% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.73% ( -0.35) | 77.27% ( 0.35) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0.07) | 22.59% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% ( -0.11) | 56.2% ( 0.11) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( -0.52) | 39.02% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.26% ( -0.49) | 75.74% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.88% |
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