Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0.44) 
0.2) 
