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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Cartagena | Draw | Real Valladolid |
29.6% | 27.09% | 43.31% |
Both teams to score 48.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |