SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Eibar |
29.63% ( 0.44) | 27.66% ( -0.39) | 42.71% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.83% ( 1.53) | 58.17% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( 1.19) | 78.82% ( -1.19) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( 1.17) | 35.24% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( 1.2) | 71.99% ( -1.2) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( 0.69) | 26.95% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( 0.9) | 62.28% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.63% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.71% |
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