Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.2%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
1.02) 
-0.06) 
