SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.2%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Leganes |
46.46% ( 1.02) | 29.62% ( -0.06) | 23.92% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 38.79% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33% ( -0.33) | 67% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.73% ( -0.22) | 85.27% ( 0.22) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.38) | 29.22% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( 0.46) | 65.17% ( -0.46) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.8% ( -1.11) | 45.2% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.91% ( -0.9) | 81.09% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 16.24% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.36% Total : 46.45% | 0-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.16) 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.92% |
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