Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
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