SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
51.05% ( -0.13) | 27.88% ( 0.12) | 21.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.01% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.05% ( -0.34) | 63.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( -0.25) | 83.15% ( 0.24) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -0.22) | 25.46% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.71% ( -0.3) | 60.29% ( 0.29) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.2) | 46.33% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.02% ( -0.15) | 81.97% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 16.13% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 51.04% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.06% |
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