Eibar are proving to be promotion contenders in the second tier, but Athletic should have enough quality in their squad to get the job done on Sunday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.1) 
