Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
