Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.83%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Lugo
51.78% ( 0.06)	28.35% ( -0.04)	19.86% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 37.61% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.75% (

0.09)

66.24% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.25% (

0.06)

84.75% (

-0.06)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

0.07)

26.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

0.1)

61.26% (

-0.1)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.95% (

0.03)

49.05% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.01% (

0.02)

83.99% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 51.77%

Lugo 19.86%

Draw 28.34%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 17.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 51.77%	0-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.86%