Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.