Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
