Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Cartagena
34.41% ( -1.71)	28.83% ( 0.33)	36.76% ( 1.38)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.73% (

-1.18)

61.27% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.8% (

-0.89)

81.19% (

0.89)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

-1.73)

33.45% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

-1.94)

70.08% (

1.94)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

0.28)

31.91% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

0.32)

68.36% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 34.4%

Cartagena 36.76%

Draw 28.82%

Ponferradina	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.4%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82%	0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.76%