SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Lugo |
57.89% ( 0) | 24.06% ( 0) | 18.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.53% ( -0.01) | 54.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( -0.01) | 75.83% ( 0.01) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( -0) | 18.64% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.04% ( -0.01) | 49.96% ( 0.01) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.01) | 44.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.73% ( -0.01) | 80.27% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.92% 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.05% |
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