Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.25%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.78%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.