Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
