SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Ponferradina |
45.41% ( -0.06) | 27.91% ( -0.15) | 26.67% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 44.92% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( 0.61) | 60.35% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( 0.46) | 80.51% ( -0.46) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( 0.25) | 26.56% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( 0.33) | 61.77% ( -0.33) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% ( 0.53) | 38.83% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.44% ( 0.5) | 75.56% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.67% |
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