SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | UD Ibiza |
37.23% ( -0.28) | 29% ( 0.08) | 33.77% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 44.77% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.09% ( -0.23) | 61.9% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% ( -0.17) | 81.67% ( 0.17) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( -0.29) | 31.94% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( -0.33) | 68.39% ( 0.34) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( 0.03) | 34.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( 0.03) | 70.91% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.77% |
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