Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huesca in this match.
