Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 34.83%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 2-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (13.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.
