SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
40.32% ( -0.25) | 28.95% ( 0.13) | 30.73% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.37) | 62.26% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.08% ( -0.27) | 81.92% ( 0.28) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.33) | 30.25% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% ( -0.4) | 66.41% ( 0.4) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.39% ( -0.1) | 36.61% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.6% ( -0.1) | 73.4% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 30.72% |
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