SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | UD Ibiza |
47.9% ( 0.28) | 26.94% ( -0.05) | 25.17% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.12% ( 0.01) | 57.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.4% ( 0.01) | 78.6% ( -0.01) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.14) | 24.23% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( 0.2) | 58.58% ( -0.19) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.2) | 38.77% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.49% ( -0.19) | 75.51% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.89% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.17% |
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