SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Racing de Santander |
37.14% ( 0.34) | 27.7% ( 0.1) | 35.17% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( -0.38) | 57.13% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( -0.3) | 78% ( 0.3) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( 0.02) | 29.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( 0.02) | 65.64% ( -0.02) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.46) | 30.83% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( -0.55) | 67.11% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.14% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.17% |
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