Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
