Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
