Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Girona had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
