SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Valladolid | 41 | 25 | 78 |
| 4 | Tenerife | 41 | 17 | 69 |
| 5 | Girona | 41 | 15 | 67 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Mirandes | 42 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Huesca | 40 | 6 | 51 |
| 15 | UD Ibiza | 40 | -5 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Huesca |
| 40.81% | 27.78% | 31.41% |
| Both teams to score 47.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.97% | 58.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% | 78.71% |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% | 27.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.47% | 63.53% |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% | 33.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.49% | 70.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Huesca |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.41% |
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