Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
